In the wake of the regional uncertainties and upheavals brought about by the January 01, 2024 Memorandum of Understanding between Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali and Somaliland [region of Somalia’]s Muse Bihi Abdi, legitimate questions arise about Abiy Ahmed’s strategic reasoning and foresight. The unexpected move appears to have dangerously overlooked the intricate geopolitics of the region and the…
In the complex layout of Somalia’s security challenges, convoluted electoral processes, safeguarding territorial integrity, socioeconomic issues, and intense political competition, President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud is faced with the daunting task of juggling numerous pressing priorities that, if not handled effectively, could have significant ramifications for the current stability of the nation and its future unity and viability. The President’s ability…
The tribal competition for acquiring small arms in Somalia, involving the arming of the clan-based Maawisley group in the past, the perceived need for self-defense due to conflicts between clans across much of the country, the communities that fight and seize weapons from Al Shabaab, and the confiscation of a large weapons shipment by a clan militia near Abudwak in…
Foresight for Practical Solutions (FPS) has conducted a brief investigation into the tragic incident that took place in Shilamadow near Abudwak city in Galmudug on July 15, 2024. The incident involved a highly trained and well-organized clan militia locally known as Kaba-qolof (Maawisley version in North Galgadud) that ambushed and confiscated an inbound weapons shipment originating from Ethiopia and destined…
The Absence of a Focused Wartime Strategy from Villa Somalia: The Villa Somalia is solely executing the war without the necessary qualified military strategists in its toolshed or on its drawing board. This deficiency hampers the effectiveness of their operations and overall progress in defeating the terrorist group. Additionally, there is a clear want in commensurate dedication, human resources allocation,…
At a Glance: Today, Ismail Omar Guelleh, the President of Djibouti, holds more sway over the stability of the Horn of Africa region than any other leader in the neighborhood. This influence is the result of history, geography, ethnic make-up, relations and dynamics, and various multifaceted connections as well as strategic alliances he has personally cultivated over the years: Djibouti’s…
In the FPS “Day-after Quarterbacking” analysis of yesterday’s Opening of the 5th Session of the Federal Parliament of Somalia, several key points have been noted: President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud 1. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud could have addressed the pressing issues of the nation with a more assertive tone. This would have conveyed a sense of urgency and seriousness towards the…
The recent buzz surrounding alleged negotiations between the Federal Government of Somalia and the Al Shabaab has sparked widespread concern and debate. As rumors swirl and speculations abound, it is crucial to examine the potential implications of such talks on the security, stability, and international standing of Somalia, particularly in the context of the East Africa region as a whole….
